Prof. John Turner


This is me!

I'm leader of the project 'Climate Variability and Modelling' (CLIVARM) in the British Antarctic Survey.
My group uses a wide range of data to study how the climate of the Antarctic has changed over the last 50 years and how it will change during the next century. We make extensive use of the output of the atmospheric models run by the UK Meteorological Office and the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts, satellite imagery collected by the ARIES receiver at the Rothera Research Station on the Antarctic Peninsula and the available meteorological reports.

I'm also a Visiting Professor at the University of Malaya.

Email: J.Turner@BAS.AC.UK

Telephone number +44 (1223)221485
Fax number +44 (1223)221279

Current research interests

Antarctic precipitation and the links between ice core data and the atmospheric circulation
Variability of the climate of the Antarctic and teleconnections with lower latitudes
Mesoscale weather systems in the Arctic and the Antarctic
The links between Antarctic sea ice extent and the atmospheric circulation

The SCAR Action Group on Prediction of Changes in the Physical and Biological Environment of the Antarctic

I'm co-chair of this group and maintain its web site

The SCAR Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment (ACCE) report

I'm the chief editor of the SCAR ACCE report, which is a major initiative to synthese knowledge on past, present and possible future changes in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean and their impact on the biota.

The current draft can be found online at

The International Antarctic Weather Forecasting Handbook

The handbook is now available online at

This volume has been prepared under the auspices of The British Antarctic Survey, The Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research, The World Meteorological Organisation, The International Commission on Polar Meteorology, The Council of Managers of National Antarctic Programs and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and is edited by myself and Steve Pendlebury (Australian Bureau of Meteorology). It grew out of a workshop on Antarctic weather forecasting held in Hobart, Australia in 1998, which brought together forecasters, researchers and administrators to discuss the current state of forecasting for the continent and how it could be improved. A report of the meeting by Turner et al. can be found in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 81, pp 75-94, January 2000.  The Handbook consists of over 700 pages of information on the meteorology of the Antarctic, forecasting techniques used in the Antarctic and forecasting information for specific locations. It is available as a single PDF file (while can be reader using the free Adobe Acrobat reader) and can be FTPed from the BAS anonymous FTP site using the linked instructions.


Editor of Weather journal 1990-93
Secretary of the European Geophysical Society's
European Polar Lows Working Group 1987 - 1994
Member of the
International Commission on Polar Meteorology 1987 - 2003
President of the International Commission on Polar Meteorology 1995 - 2003
Council Member of the Royal Meteorological Society 1988 - 1993
Member of the Meetings Committee of the
Royal Meteorological Society 1988 - 1991
Co-convenor of the Remote Sensing in the Polar Regions symposium of IAMAP 1989
UK Delegate to the
SCAR Working group on Physics and Chemistry of the Atmosphere Group 1990-2002
Chairman of the
SCAR Working group on Physics and Chemistry of the Atmosphere Group 1998-2002
Chairman of the
SCAR Standing Scientific Group on Physical Sciences 2002 - 2006
Head of SCAR FROST project 1992 - 2000
Deputy Secretary General of IAMAS 2003 - 2011

Vice-President of IAMAS 2011 - date
Chair of the SCAR Antarctica and the Global Climate System (AGCS) programme 2005 - 2008
Past Chair of the SCAR Antarctica and the Global Climate System (AGCS) programme 2008 - date
Member of the Steering Committee of the WCRP Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) Project 2002 - 2008
Chair, SCAR Expert Group on Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment 2010 - date
Member, Martha T. Muse Prize Selection Committee 2011 - date

Selected publications


Turner, J. and Marshall, G. J. Climate Change in the Polar Regions. 2011. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press. 434 pp.

Turner, J. Antarctic Climate change and the Environment - 2011 Update. SCAR Paper IP52 to the XXXIV Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting, 20 June - 1 July 2011, Buenos Aires, Argentina. 2011.


Turner, J. Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment - An Update. SCAR Paper IP46 to the XXXIII Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting, 3-14 May 2010, Punta del Este, Uruguay. 2010.


Turner, J., Comiso, J. C., Marshall, G. J., Lachlan-Cope, T. A., Bracegirdle, T. J., Maksym, T., Meredith, M. P., Wang, Z., and Orr, A. Non-annular atmospheric circulation change induced by stratospheric ozone depletion and its role in the recent increase of Antarctic sea ice extent. Geophysics Research Letters 36, L08502, doi:10.1029/2009GL037524. 2009.

Mayewski, P. A., Meredith, M. P., Summerhayes, C. P., Turner, J., Worby, A. P., Barrett, P. J., Casassa, G., Bertler, N. A. N., Bracegirdle, T. J., Naveira-Garabato, A. C., Bromwich, D. H., Campbell, H., Hamilton, G. H., Lyons, W. B., Maasch, K. A., Aoki, S., and Xiao, C. State of the Antarctic and Southern Ocean Climate System (SASOCS). Reviews of Geophysics . 2009.

Turner, J. and Overland, J. E. Contrasting climate change in the two polar regions. Polar Research 28(2), 146-164. 2009.

Turner, J., Chenoli, S. N., abu Samah, A., Marshall, G. J., Phillips, T., and Orr, A. Strong wind events in the Antarctic. Journal of Geophysical Research 114, D18103, doi:10.1029/2008JD011642. 2009.


Bracegirdle, T. J., Connolley, W. M., and Turner, J. Antarctic climate change over the Twenty First Century. Journal of Geophysical Research 113, D03103, doi:10.1029/2007JD008933. 2008.
Overland, J. E., Turner, J., Francis, J. A., Gillett, N. P., Marshall, G. J. and Tjernstrom, M. 2008. The Arctic and Antarctic: Two Faces of Climate Change. Eos : 177-178.


Turner,J., Overland,J.E. & Walsh,J.E. (2007) An Arctic and Antarctic perspective on recent climate change. International Journal of Climatology, 27, 277-293.
Turner,J. (2007) Polar Meteorology - Understanding Global Impacts. Booklet for World Meteorological Day 2007. WMO, Geneva. 39 pp. PDF Version.


Turner,J., Lachlan-Cope,T.A., Colwell,S.R., Marshall,G.J. & Connolley,W.M. (2006) Significant warming of the Antarctic winter troposphere. Science, 311, 1914-7. Online version
Turner,J., Connolley,W.M., Lachlan-Cope,T.A. & Marshall,G.J. (2006) The Performance of the Hadley Centre Climate Model (HadCM3) in High Southern Latitudes. International Journal of Climatology, 26, 91-112


Turner, J., Colwell, S. R., Marshall, G. J., Lachlan-Cope, T. A., Carleton, A. M., Jones, P. D., Lagun, V., Reid, P. A. and Iagovkina, S. 2005. Antarctic climate change during the last 50 years. International Journal of Climatology 25: 279-294.
Turner, J. 2005. Aspects of modern Antarctic meteorology and climatology. Archives of Natural History 32 [2]: 334-345.
Turner,J., Lachlan-Cope,T.A., Colwell,S. & Marshall,G.J. (2005) A positive trend in western Antarctic Peninsula precipitation over the last 50 years ref;ecting regional and Antarctic-wide atmospheric circulation changes. Annals of Glaciology, 41, 85-91.


Turner, J. 2004. The El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Antarctica. International Journal of Climatology 24: 1-31.


Turner,J., S.A.Harangozo, J.C.King, W.Connolley, T.Lachlan-Cope, and G.J.Marshall. (2003), An exceptional winter sea-ice retreat/advance in the Bellingshausen Sea, Antarctica, Atmos. - Ocean. 41, 171-85.
Rasmussen,E.A. and Turner,J.(2003). Polar Lows: Mesoscale Weather Systems in the Polar Regions, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 612.


Turner,J., J.C.King, T.A.Lachlan-Cope, and P.D.Jones. (2002), Recent temperature trends in the Antarctic, Nature 418, 291-92.
Turner,J., T.A.Lachlan-Cope, G.J.Marshall, E.M.Morris, R.Mulvaney, and W.Winter. (2002), Spatial variability of Antarctic Peninsula net surface mass balance, J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos. 107, 10.1029/2001JD000755


Turner,J., T.A.Lachlan-Cope, G.J.Marshall, S.Pendlebury, and N.Adams. (2001), An extreme wind event at Casey Station, Antarctica, J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos. 106, 7291-311.
Turner,J., G.J.Marshall, and R.Ladkin. (2001), An operational, real-time cloud detection scheme for use in the Antarctic based on AVHRR data, Int. J. Rem. Sens. 22, 3027-46.


Turner,J., S.Pendlebury, L.Cowled, K.Jacka, M.Jones, and P.Targett. (2000), Report on the First International Symposium on Operational Weather Forecasting in Antarctica, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 81, 75-94.


Turner, J., W.M. Connolley, S. Leonard, G.J. Marshall, and D.G. Vaughan. (1999), Spatial and temporal variability of net snow accumulation over the Antarctic from ECMWF re-analysis project data, Int. J. Climatol. 19, 697-724.
Leonard, S.R., J. Turner, and A. Van Der Wal. (1999), An assessment of three automatic depression tracking schemes, Met. Apps. 6, 173-83


Turner, J., Marshall, G.J., and Lachlan-Cope, T.A. 1998: Analysis of synoptic-scale low pressure systems within the Antarctic Peninsula sector of the circumpolar trough. Int.J.Climatol. 18, 253-280.
Turner, J., S. Leonard, T. Lachlan-Cope, and G. Marshall. (1998), Understanding Antarctic Peninsula precipitation distribution and variability using a numerical weather prediction model, Ann. Glaciol. 27, 591-96.
Jones, A., Bowden, T., and Turner, J. 1998: Predicting total ozone based on GTS data: Applications for Southern Hemisphere high-latitude populations. J.Appl.Met. 37, 477-485.


King, J. C., and J. Turner, 1997, Antarctic Meteorology and Climatology: Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.
Leonard, S., J. Turner, and S. Milton, 1997: An assessment of UK Meteorological Office numerical weather prediction analyses and forecasts for the Antarctic. Antarctic. Science.,9, 100-109.
Marshall, G.J. and Turner, J. 1997: Katabatic wind propagation over the western Ross Sea observed using ERS-1 scatterometer data. Antarctic.Sci. 9, 221-226.
Marshall, G.J. and Turner, J. 1997: Surface wind fields of Antarctic mesocyclones derived from ERS-1 scatterometer data. J.Geophys.Res. 102, 13907-13921.
Turner, J., Colwell, S.R., and Harangozo, S.A. 1997: Variability of precipitation over the coastal western Antarctic Peninsula from synoptic observations. J.Geophys.Res. 102, 13999-14007.


Bromwich, D. H., J. F. Carrasco, and J. Turner, 1996: A downward developing mesoscale cyclone over the Ross Ice Shelf during winter. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System,4, 125-147.
Turner, J., G. Corcoran, S. Cummins, T. Lachlan-Cope, and S. Leonard, 1996: Seasonal variability of mesocyclone activity in the Bellingshausen/Weddell region of Antarctica. The Global Atmosphere and Ocean System,5, 73-97.
Turner, J., D. Bromwich, S. Colwell, S. Dixon, T. Gibson, T. Hart, G. Heinemann, H. Hutchinson, K. Jacka, S. Leonard, M. Lieder, L. Marsh, S. Pendlebury, H. Phillpot, M. Pook, and I. Simmonds, 1996: The Antarctic First Regional Observing Study of the Troposphere (FROST) project. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc.,77, 2007-2032.

Last updated 7 February 2012
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